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TLT

20yr Treasury ETF (iShares)etf

$81.630.06% today

Trade TLT

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Research TLT

TLT · 90-day price history

Prediction models

All predictions →

Trend follower

Horizon: 1 week

down

Signal strength0.07

Historical accuracy37%

99 predictions · 12mBaseline 23%

How this works

Compares a 10-day vs 50-day moving average. When the short-term average rises above the long-term average, the trend is up.

Not financial advice. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.

Momentum

Horizon: 1 week

down

Signal strength0.17

Historical accuracy36%

99 predictions · 12mBaseline 23%

How this works

Uses RSI (a gauge of recent buying/selling intensity) and 5-day rate-of-change to judge whether the stock has been pushed too far in one direction.

Not financial advice. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.

Statistical trend

Horizon: 1 month

down

Signal strength0.67

Historical accuracy56%

81 predictions · 12mBaseline 10%

How this works

Fits a trend line through the last 60 days of prices and measures how far the current price has strayed from it.

Not financial advice. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.

Multi-factor + news

Horizon: 1 week

AI + NEWS

down

Signal strength0.12

Historical accuracy38%

37 predictions · 12mBaseline 23%

Accuracy reflects technical signals only. News sentiment is live.

How this works

Combines trend (25%), momentum (25%), volume (15%), and AI-analysed news sentiment (35%) from your trusted sources into one score.

Not financial advice. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.

Bull / Bear thesis

AI analysis

Bull case●

Bonds up 0.42% on safe haven demand

Treasury bonds gaining as uncertainty rises

Price action

Bull market sustainability supported

Theme of bonds and bull market continuing

SeekingAlpha

Geopolitical risks supporting fixed income

War shock positioning increasing bond attractiveness

SeekingAlpha

Bear case●

Rate hike expectations pose risk

Rising expectations could pressure long bonds

SeekingAlpha

AI capex creating inflation headwinds

Meta spending and energy shocks raising inflation

SeekingAlpha

Fed policy uncertainty ahead

Key Federal Reserve announcement this week

Yahoo

AI-generated from recent news and price action. Not financial advice. Educational only.

Seasonality

~5y of history

Avg return by month · %

This month historically: -3.51% on average, up 20% of 5 years.

Avg return by weekday · %

Historical pattern only — seasonality is not a prediction and often breaks.

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AI research companion

AI Research Companion

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