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XLY

Consumer Discretionary ETF (SPDR)etf

$113.101.66% today

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Research XLY

XLY · 90-day price history

Prediction models

All predictions →

Trend follower

Horizon: 1 week

flat

Signal strength0.00

Historical accuracy30%

27 predictions · 12mBaseline 31%

How this works

Compares a 10-day vs 50-day moving average. When the short-term average rises above the long-term average, the trend is up.

Not financial advice. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.

Momentum

Horizon: 1 week

down

Signal strength0.15

Historical accuracy37%

27 predictions · 12mBaseline 31%

How this works

Uses RSI (a gauge of recent buying/selling intensity) and 5-day rate-of-change to judge whether the stock has been pushed too far in one direction.

Not financial advice. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.

Statistical trend

Horizon: 1 month

down

Signal strength0.70

Historical accuracy20%

10 predictions · 12mBaseline 38%

How this works

Fits a trend line through the last 60 days of prices and measures how far the current price has strayed from it.

Not financial advice. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.

Multi-factor + news

Horizon: 1 week

AI + NEWS

flat

Signal strength0.02

Historical accuracy37%

27 predictions · 12mBaseline 31%

Accuracy reflects technical signals only. News sentiment is live.

How this works

Combines trend (25%), momentum (25%), volume (15%), and AI-analysed news sentiment (35%) from your trusted sources into one score.

Not financial advice. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.

Bull / Bear thesis

AI analysis

Bull case●

Down just 0.45% despite consumer sentiment hitting 5-month low

Consumer Discretionary down only 0.45% as sentiment fell to 48.0

SeekingAlpha

Auto sector weakness creates cyclical buying opportunity

Stellantis, Ford, GM earnings warnings create value setup

Yahoo

Discretionary spending rebounds once uncertainty clears

Cyclical sectors recover as economic clarity improves

Price action

Bear case●

Consumer sentiment index hits 5-month low at 48.0

Michigan Consumer Sentiment final reading fell to 48.0 in October

SeekingAlpha

Auto earnings warnings: Stellantis -8%, Ford -4%, General Motors -3%

Major automakers sink with weak Q3 guidance warnings

Yahoo

Weak consumer confidence pressures discretionary spending

Low sentiment directly pressures XLY retailer demand

Price action

AI-generated from recent news and price action. Not financial advice. Educational only.

Seasonality

~5y of history

Avg return by month · %

This month historically: -0.91% on average, up 60% of 5 years.

Avg return by weekday · %

Historical pattern only — seasonality is not a prediction and often breaks.

Recent news

Consumer Sentiment At 5-Month Low

SeekingAlpha · Oct 23

Fresh consumer sentiment data at lowest level in 5 months indicates weakening consumer confidence

Stellantis Sinks 8% as Q3 Report Nears; Ford Drops 4%, General Motors Slides 3%

Yahoo · Oct 23

Major auto suppliers within XLY declining sharply on earnings warnings

AI research companion

AI Research Companion

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