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XLE

Energy Sector ETF (SPDR)etf

$68.281.95% today

XLE · 90-day price history

Prediction models

All predictions →

Trend follower

Horizon: 1 week

Signal strength0.72

Historical accuracy50%

99 predictions · 12mBaseline 57%

How this works

Compares a 10-day vs 50-day moving average. When the short-term average rises above the long-term average, the trend is up.

Not financial advice. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.

Momentum

Horizon: 1 week

flat

Signal strength0.10

Historical accuracy47%

99 predictions · 12mBaseline 57%

How this works

Uses RSI (a gauge of recent buying/selling intensity) and 5-day rate-of-change to judge whether the stock has been pushed too far in one direction.

Not financial advice. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.

Statistical trend

Horizon: 1 month

Signal strength0.38

Historical accuracy19%

83 predictions · 12mBaseline 61%

How this works

Fits a trend line through the last 60 days of prices and measures how far the current price has strayed from it.

Not financial advice. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.

Multi-factor + news

Horizon: 1 week

AI + NEWS

Signal strength0.30

Historical accuracy49%

37 predictions · 12mBaseline 57%

Accuracy reflects technical signals only. News sentiment is live.

How this works

Combines trend (25%), momentum (25%), volume (15%), and AI-analysed news sentiment (35%) from your trusted sources into one score.

Not financial advice. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.

Bull / Bear thesis

AI analysis

Bull case●

Energy benefiting from value rotation

Energy strength offsetting growth weakness

SeekingAlpha

Energy sector up 0.45% on commodity strength

Oil prices supporting energy gains

Price action

Defensive positioning benefiting energy

Value and defensive stocks outperforming

SeekingAlpha

Bear case●

Energy trading mixed intraday

Multiple reports of sector volatility

Yahoo

Oil price volatility introduces uncertainty

Inflation fears from rising oil prices

SeekingAlpha

Narrow strength limits upside

Energy gains narrow despite commodity support

Price action

AI-generated from recent news and price action. Not financial advice. Educational only.

Seasonality

~5y of history

Avg return by month · %

This month historically: +4.39% on average, up 60% of 5 years.

Avg return by weekday · %

Historical pattern only — seasonality is not a prediction and often breaks.