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VGT

Tech ETF (Vanguard)etf

$122.821.53% today

VGT · 90-day price history

Prediction models

All predictions →

Trend follower

Horizon: 1 week

down

Signal strength0.16

Historical accuracy39%

99 predictions · 12mBaseline 51%

How this works

Compares a 10-day vs 50-day moving average. When the short-term average rises above the long-term average, the trend is up.

Not financial advice. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.

Momentum

Horizon: 1 week

Signal strength0.28

Historical accuracy32%

99 predictions · 12mBaseline 51%

How this works

Uses RSI (a gauge of recent buying/selling intensity) and 5-day rate-of-change to judge whether the stock has been pushed too far in one direction.

Not financial advice. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.

Statistical trend

Horizon: 1 month

Signal strength0.36

Historical accuracy41%

81 predictions · 12mBaseline 80%

How this works

Fits a trend line through the last 60 days of prices and measures how far the current price has strayed from it.

Not financial advice. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.

Multi-factor + news

Horizon: 1 week

AI + NEWS

Signal strength0.20

Historical accuracy32%

37 predictions · 12mBaseline 51%

Accuracy reflects technical signals only. News sentiment is live.

How this works

Combines trend (25%), momentum (25%), volume (15%), and AI-analysed news sentiment (35%) from your trusted sources into one score.

Not financial advice. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.

Bull / Bear thesis

AI analysis

Bull case●

Tech sector up 1.51% strong

VGT price shows solid momentum

Price action

Mega-cap tech earnings staying strong

Mega-cap earnings beat despite rate pressures

SeekingAlpha

Long-term tech outperformance track record

Tech ETF historically outperforms over decades

Yahoo

Bear case●

AI capex and rising rates pressuring valuations

AI capex and rates creating headwinds

SeekingAlpha

Market expectations reset from June peak

Expectations changed when stocks peaked in June

SeekingAlpha

Growth sector under pressure vs value

Weakness in growth-oriented sectors offsetting other gains

SeekingAlpha

AI-generated from recent news and price action. Not financial advice. Educational only.

Seasonality

~5y of history

Avg return by month · %

This month historically: +2.81% on average, up 60% of 5 years.

Avg return by weekday · %

Historical pattern only — seasonality is not a prediction and often breaks.