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TSM

Taiwan Semiconductorstock
$418.511.49% today

Research TSM

TSM · 90-day price history

Market cap

$2.20T

P/E

27.5

Div yield

0.89%

Industry

Semiconductors

Exchange

NYSE

Website ↗

Prediction models

All predictions →

Trend follower

Horizon: 1 week

down
Signal strength0.18
Historical accuracy52%
27 predictions · 12mBaseline 45%
How this works

Compares a 10-day vs 50-day moving average. When the short-term average rises above the long-term average, the trend is up.

Not financial advice. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.

Momentum

Horizon: 1 week

flat
Signal strength0.10
Historical accuracy48%
27 predictions · 12mBaseline 45%
How this works

Uses RSI (a gauge of recent buying/selling intensity) and 5-day rate-of-change to judge whether the stock has been pushed too far in one direction.

Not financial advice. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.

Statistical trend

Horizon: 1 month

up
Signal strength0.56
Historical accuracy30%
10 predictions · 12mBaseline 49%
How this works

Fits a trend line through the last 60 days of prices and measures how far the current price has strayed from it.

Not financial advice. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.

Multi-factor + news

Horizon: 1 week

AI + NEWS
flat
Signal strength0.04
Historical accuracy44%
27 predictions · 12mBaseline 45%

Accuracy reflects technical signals only. News sentiment is live.

How this works

Combines trend (25%), momentum (25%), volume (15%), and AI-analysed news sentiment (35%) from your trusted sources into one score.

Not financial advice. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.

Bull / Bear thesis

AI analysis
Bull case●

TSMC and ASML identified as incredibly dominant and defensible monopoly chip makers

Both firms dominating respective industries as shown in latest analysis (11h old)

Yahoo

EUV machines sold out through 2028 shows structural supply constraint benefiting TSMC

ASML confirmed EUV sold out through 2028, supporting TSMC's customer access (12h old)

Yahoo

Stock up 1.6% shows steady progress despite competitive and geopolitical concerns

TSM maintained modest gains amid sector volatility

Price action
Bear case●

SpaceX Terafab partnership negotiations with operational control disagreement

TSMC CEO drew hard line on Terafab management, potentially blocking deal (12h old)

Yahoo

China rare earth export controls create supply chain uncertainty

China's rare earth controls push TSMC to hunt for alternative materials (12h old)

Yahoo

Geopolitical and partnership execution risks create downside potential

TSMC-SpaceX negotiations stalled on management control (12h old)

Yahoo

AI-generated from recent news and price action. Not financial advice. Educational only.

Seasonality

~5y of history

Avg return by month · %

JFMAMJJASOND

This month historically: +2.57% on average, up 60% of 5 years.

Avg return by weekday · %

MonTueWedThuFri

Historical pattern only — seasonality is not a prediction and often breaks.

Recent news

Taiwan Semiconductor and ASML Are Incredible, but 1 of These Monopoly Chip Stocks Is Far Safer.

Yahoo · Oct 22

TSMC's monopoly in advanced chip manufacturing provides durable competitive advantage despite geopolitical risks.

3 Australian Rare Earth Stocks To Own In October 2026

Yahoo · Oct 22

TSMC and industry need for secure rare earth supplies shifts attention to alternative mining sources.

Taiwan Semiconductor Wants In on SpaceX's Terafab — but Only If It Runs the Fab

Yahoo · Oct 22

TSMC-SpaceX Terafab negotiations signal potential near-term uncertainty but long-term partnership opportunity.

AI research companion

AI Research Companion

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