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SPY

S&P 500 ETF (SPDR)etf
$771.790.28% today

SPY · 90-day price history

Prediction models

All predictions →

Trend follower

Horizon: 1 week

up
Signal strength0.14
Historical accuracy29%
92 predictions · 12mBaseline 47%
How this works

Compares a 10-day vs 50-day moving average. When the short-term average rises above the long-term average, the trend is up.

Not financial advice. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.

Momentum

Horizon: 1 week

flat
Signal strength0.03
Historical accuracy34%
92 predictions · 12mBaseline 47%
How this works

Uses RSI (a gauge of recent buying/selling intensity) and 5-day rate-of-change to judge whether the stock has been pushed too far in one direction.

Not financial advice. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.

Statistical trend

Horizon: 1 month

up
Signal strength0.20
Historical accuracy59%
75 predictions · 12mBaseline 76%
How this works

Fits a trend line through the last 60 days of prices and measures how far the current price has strayed from it.

Not financial advice. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.

Multi-factor + news

Horizon: 1 week

AI + NEWS
flat
Signal strength0.01
Historical accuracy33%
30 predictions · 12mBaseline 47%

Accuracy reflects technical signals only. News sentiment is live.

How this works

Combines trend (25%), momentum (25%), volume (15%), and AI-analysed news sentiment (35%) from your trusted sources into one score.

Not financial advice. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.

Bull / Bear thesis

AI analysis
Bull case●

Market rotation shows healthy profit-taking in AI

Market rotating out of AI stocks after gains suggests healthy consolidation rather than crash.

Yahoo

PPI beat expectations despite inflation concerns

PPI came in at 1.3% for September, better than 0.6% expected, showing price pressures moderating.

SeekingAlpha

Broad diversification among 500 stocks buffers volatility

S&P 500's diversification across sectors and companies reduces impact of any single industry downturn.

Price action
Bear case●

AI sector profit-taking pressuring broad market

Nasdaq weakness from AI stock sell-off is dragging down the broader S&P 500 index.

Yahoo

PPI inflation persistent at 6.3% raises Fed concerns

PPI at 6.3% YoY growth, highest since 2022, shows inflation not as controlled as hoped.

Yahoo

Macro uncertainty creating volatility

Geopolitical risks, election uncertainty, and economic data variability create near-term pressure.

Price action

AI-generated from recent news and price action. Not financial advice. Educational only.

Seasonality

~5y of history

Avg return by month · %

JFMAMJJASOND

This month historically: +1.81% on average, up 60% of 5 years.

Avg return by weekday · %

MonTueWedThuFri

Historical pattern only — seasonality is not a prediction and often breaks.

Recent news

Dow Sees Best Day In Over A Month As Investors Rotate Out Of AI Trade On Overspending Concerns

Yahoo · Oct 15

Market rotation from AI to other sectors shows healthy rebalancing but suggests AI enthusiasm may have peaked.

Producer Price Index: Up 1.3% In September, Better Than Expected

SeekingAlpha · Oct 15

Better-than-expected PPI print suggests inflation moderating, which could help Fed avoid further rate hikes.

AI research companion

AI Research Companion

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