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SMH

Semiconductor ETF (VanEck)etf
$527.200.74% today

SMH · 90-day price history

Prediction models

All predictions →

Trend follower

Horizon: 1 week

down
Signal strength0.39
Historical accuracy26%
27 predictions · 12mBaseline 37%
How this works

Compares a 10-day vs 50-day moving average. When the short-term average rises above the long-term average, the trend is up.

Not financial advice. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.

Momentum

Horizon: 1 week

flat
Signal strength0.02
Historical accuracy56%
27 predictions · 12mBaseline 37%
How this works

Uses RSI (a gauge of recent buying/selling intensity) and 5-day rate-of-change to judge whether the stock has been pushed too far in one direction.

Not financial advice. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.

Statistical trend

Horizon: 1 month

up
Signal strength0.23
Historical accuracy50%
10 predictions · 12mBaseline 40%
How this works

Fits a trend line through the last 60 days of prices and measures how far the current price has strayed from it.

Not financial advice. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.

Multi-factor + news

Horizon: 1 week

AI + NEWS
down
Signal strength0.20
Historical accuracy30%
27 predictions · 12mBaseline 37%

Accuracy reflects technical signals only. News sentiment is live.

How this works

Combines trend (25%), momentum (25%), volume (15%), and AI-analysed news sentiment (35%) from your trusted sources into one score.

Not financial advice. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.

Bull / Bear thesis

AI analysis
Bull case●

Strong price action shows chip sector confidence

Up 1.89% reflects investor belief in semiconductor demand

Price action

Stock split improving accessibility

3-for-1 split announced creating lower entry price for retail investors

Yahoo

AI trade revival supporting semiconductor valuations

Investor interest returning to AI-related chip demand

Price action
Bear case●

Tech uncertainty persisting despite gains

Pre-bell tech concerns continue despite semiconductor strength

Yahoo

AI chip valuation debate continues

Bubble concerns about semiconductor valuations despite strong earnings

Benzinga

Oil and geopolitical concerns creating headwinds

Macro concerns threatening chip sector rally momentum

Price action

AI-generated from recent news and price action. Not financial advice. Educational only.

Seasonality

~5y of history

Avg return by month · %

JFMAMJJASOND

This month historically: +2.37% on average, up 60% of 5 years.

Avg return by weekday · %

MonTueWedThuFri

Historical pattern only — seasonality is not a prediction and often breaks.

Recent news

SOXX Is Splitting 3-for-1 Again: What Changes for Your Shares and What Doesn't

Yahoo · Oct 22

Semiconductor index 3-for-1 stock split makes shares more accessible to retail investors, while the fundamental value drivers remain unchanged.

AI research companion

AI Research Companion

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