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BND

Total Bond ETF (Vanguard)etf
$71.200.22% today

BND · 90-day price history

Prediction models

All predictions →

Trend follower

Horizon: 1 week

down
Signal strength0.14
Historical accuracy33%
27 predictions · 12mBaseline 13%
How this works

Compares a 10-day vs 50-day moving average. When the short-term average rises above the long-term average, the trend is up.

Not financial advice. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.

Momentum

Horizon: 1 week

down
Signal strength0.36
Historical accuracy19%
27 predictions · 12mBaseline 13%
How this works

Uses RSI (a gauge of recent buying/selling intensity) and 5-day rate-of-change to judge whether the stock has been pushed too far in one direction.

Not financial advice. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.

Statistical trend

Horizon: 1 month

down
Signal strength0.64
Historical accuracy60%
10 predictions · 12mBaseline 0%
How this works

Fits a trend line through the last 60 days of prices and measures how far the current price has strayed from it.

Not financial advice. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.

Multi-factor + news

Horizon: 1 week

AI + NEWS
down
Signal strength0.18
Historical accuracy37%
27 predictions · 12mBaseline 13%

Accuracy reflects technical signals only. News sentiment is live.

How this works

Combines trend (25%), momentum (25%), volume (15%), and AI-analysed news sentiment (35%) from your trusted sources into one score.

Not financial advice. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.

Bull / Bear thesis

AI analysis
Bull case●

Bond stability in volatile market environment

Flat 0% performance shows absence of distress

Price action

Competitive yields now available for fixed income

Rate increases have created attractive entry points for bond investors

Price action

Diversified bond holdings provide ballast to equities

Bonds historically offset equity volatility in downturns

Price action
Bear case●

No price momentum signals weak buyer interest

Completely flat performance shows reluctance to add bond exposure

Price action

Rate path remains uncertain

Fed policy direction unpredictable keeps bond investors cautious

Price action

Recent rate increases created mark-to-market losses

Bond valuations depressed from holding bonds through rate-hike cycle

Price action

AI-generated from recent news and price action. Not financial advice. Educational only.

Seasonality

~5y of history

Avg return by month · %

JFMAMJJASOND

This month historically: -1.2% on average, up 20% of 5 years.

Avg return by weekday · %

MonTueWedThuFri

Historical pattern only — seasonality is not a prediction and often breaks.

Recent news

No recent news found for BND.

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